STA Blog

STA Blog

Gloomy technical analysts get press coverage

Earlier this year – mid-February to be precise – the Weekend FT’s Money section printed an article by John Dizard.  Considered one of their more serious commentators, the piece was entitled ‘Technical analysts have a pretty gloomy outlook for risk […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Gann again: A great trader

Recent work of mine on Fibonacci, inspired in part by the mathematical garden at the Chelsea Flower Show (designed by silver gilt winner and head gardener at the Chelsea Physic Garden Nick Bailey), started me thinking about magical numbers.  These […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Bank underground: An STA shortcut?

Not the quickest route to the STA’s monthly meeting but the Bank of England’s blog for staff to share views.  http://bankunderground.co.uk/ When Dan Nixon of the Stakeholders Communications & Strategy division writes thus: Economic theory generally assumes that more consumption […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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The value of volatility: Measures and comparisons

Approached by an STA member recently at a monthly meeting, he showed me a very interesting report by FTSE Russell, an organisation producing equity benchmarks and research on these, wholly owned by the London Stock Exchange Group.  Of the five […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Come to the monthly meeting: But leave your ego at home

Yesterday Thomas Anthonj of JP Morgan Securities, Ltd. was invited back to tell STA members more about his successful systematic trading method which is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci applications.  As a foreign exchange strategist for the firm […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending

Technical Trading: Is it still beating the foreign exchange market?

Academics from the University of Hong Kong and University of Warwick have carried out a large-scale investigation of technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market, using daily data over 45 years for 30 developed and emerging market currencies. Employing […]

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Posted in General

Looking ahead: With stats or a crystal ball

All of us would probably like to know what’ll happen next; it’d make life so much easier, knowing what to prepare for and when – no doubt leading to a more fulfilling, if not accepting/fatalistic existence.  Mind you, pity the […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Of predictive value: yes or no?

Very recently I came across this chart of the S&P 500 index.  It shows the major downturns it has seen four times since the 1970’s, where each one starts at a theoretical 1 (or 100 per cent).  Every one of […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Secrets of the Charts: As revealed by Shares magazine

A colleague last week brought to my attention an article in the latest issue of Shares magazine and asked what I had thought of it.  Not only did I have to admit that I hadn’t seen it – ‘yet’ I […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Steven Goldstein – the Performer: Tells engrossing tales of traders, tendencies and traits

Describing himself as a coach and consultant who teaches on the STA’s Diploma course, veteran City trader Steven Goldstein (the punters’ magician) laid out his cards at yesterday’s STA monthly meeting.  Wowing members, one guest was overheard saying later that, […]

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Posted in Finance, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Fundamental analysis: Through the eyes of a techie

Oh not that old chestnut, you groan!  No chance, not here that’s for sure.  The arguments and discussions surrounding the relative merits of fundamental versus technical analysis are too old hat, blinkered and dreary and only for the bigoted.  But […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Maximising moving averages with histograms

Loved by the trading community and developed by Gerald Appel about forty years ago the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD as it’s usually known) aims to drill down into trends – and when they begin to lose momentum.  Calculated by subtracting […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Why investors keep buying shares that are bad for them

Dr Keith Anderson, lecturer of accounting and finance at the University of York, and also a guest speaker at one of our monthly STA meetings had an article recently printed in the Interactive Investor. Click on link below to read. […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, Technical Analysis, Trading

Pattern recognition: Man versus machine

To coincide with St Patrick’s Day last week Scientific American posted on social media a short video to help you spot a four-leaf clover. Presented by a self-confessed egg-head, the focus is on pattern recognition and how science can help […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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A sense of perspective: How much does one need

Looking at the beautiful photos taken by British astronaut Tim Peake from the International Space Station reminded me of how important distance and familiarity are to technical analysis.  When charting a new market or instrument I always insist on starting […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Peaks and tops: Markets and trends

As technical analysts we are all too aware of the sort of chart patterns we should look for at market tops.  Double and triple tops, quadruple ones even, the ubiquitous head and shoulders, islands, shooting or evening stars and hanging […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Tom DeMark finds the time: Creator of DeMark Indicators

Introduced by Guido Riolo, Bloomberg’s Head of Charting, as ‘a genius of the world of finance’ whose Sequential®, Combo®, and TD Lines® the terminal supplies, audience expectations were running high at the STA’s monthly meeting. A heavyweight in the world […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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STA at The Shard: Joint event with Warwick Business School

Organised by Tom Hicks MENG MSTA MSCI, and more importantly the STA’s Head of Programmes, for many members it was an opportunity to scale new heights – if you could manage the rather complicated lifts to the 17th floor, that […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Review: Fortune Tellers, Walter A Friedman

An idea suggested by STA members, and one I wholeheartedly support, is not a ‘Book Club’ as such (way too bourgeois) but a forum to showcase and discuss books that are either new, useful, or beautiful (to paraphrase William Morris); […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Riccardo Ronco flies in: Momentum builds

This month’s speaker, Riccardo Ronco of institutional equity brokerage Aviate Global, dashed in on a cold London evening looking just as dapper as you’d expect of an Italian.  Claiming his compatriots were no good at cracking jokes to break the […]

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Posted in Finance, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Nicole Elliott Interview series: Anne Whitby FSTA

Anne Whitby FSTA kicks off our series of interviews with leading technical analysts. As part of our social media programme, and in an effort to help and educate budding professional and amateur chartists, this series aims at giving a light-hearted […]

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Posted in General, STA charts, Technical Analysis
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Secondary, tertiary, and other indicators

We all know that the prime mover of technical analysis is a time series analysis of market prices, sometimes labelled as ‘descriptive statistics’ by statisticians. They then call all further analysis based on this data ‘inductive statistics’ which include forecasts, generalisations, and extrapolations.

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Posted in General, Markets
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Annual panel debate: A broad-ranging discussion

Rather than the usual monthly format of guest speaker presentation followed by a handful of questions, January’s get together encourages audience participation and debate between the speakers themselves. The STA was lucky to have a panel of three very different […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Coppock’s indicator: Mercifully, monthly only

If, like me, you have spent way too many hours, days, and years studying charts – and more often than not staring blankly at computer screens – it’s nice to know some things only have to be done very occasionally; […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Bank of England treads carefully: Cautious, considered and flexible

These were the themes of Minouche Shafik, Deputy Governor markets and banking at the Bank of England, who chose the Institute of Directors’ grand premises on Pall Mall as the venue for her first major monetary policy speech. With a […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Not reverting to type: Though CAPE mean reverts

Why oh why did I tell Professor Russell Napier that traditionally the speaker at December’s meeting should be brief because he kept STA members from the canapés and drinks at the after-party? The man is quite the maverick and rattled […]

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Posted in General

Seasons Greetings: To seasonality

DEFINITION: A characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes which recur every calendar year. Any predictable change or pattern in a time series that recurs or repeats over a one-year period can be […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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On our best behaviour: Tips from the top

For those of you who could not make it to the STA Annual Dinner yesterday, we offer a glimpse into what was another successful and enjoyable evening. Pre-dinner drinks in the so-called smoking room (which is only permitted on the […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Bumping into Heikin Ashi: Pleased to meet you

At November’s STA monthly meeting we were treated to a very interesting talk by motivational coach Steve Ward (do watch the video which is now on the STA website). But there was an added extra in store for me over […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Additional uses of the DMI indicator by Karen Jones Head of FICC Technical Analysis , Commerzbank

I have found the DMI indicator to be a useful tool. The more traditional way to use this index is in conjunction with an ADX signal above 20 (this tells you that a market is trending in the first place). […]

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Posted in General
Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA.

The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.

None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.

About Nicole Elliott

Nicole Elliott

A graduate of the London School of Economics and Political Science (BSc Social Psychology) Nicole Elliott has worked in banks in the City of London for the last 30 years. Whether in sales, trading or forecasting technical analysis has always been the bedrock of her thinking. Key expertise lies within all areas of treasury: foreign exchange, money markets, fixed income and commodities.

She has also added to the body of knowledge of the industry writing the first western book on Ichimoku Cloud Charts. Strong media links and a cult following are due to her prescient calls on the markets and often entertaining format.

Nicole can be contacted at trending@sta-uk.org

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