STA Blog

STA Blog

Nicole Elliott Interview series: Anne Whitby FSTA

Anne Whitby FSTA kicks off our series of interviews with leading technical analysts. As part of our social media programme, and in an effort to help and educate budding professional and amateur chartists, this series aims at giving a light-hearted […]

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Posted in General, STA charts, Technical Analysis
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Secondary, tertiary, and other indicators

We all know that the prime mover of technical analysis is a time series analysis of market prices, sometimes labelled as ‘descriptive statistics’ by statisticians. They then call all further analysis based on this data ‘inductive statistics’ which include forecasts, generalisations, and extrapolations.

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Posted in General, Markets
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Annual panel debate: A broad-ranging discussion

Rather than the usual monthly format of guest speaker presentation followed by a handful of questions, January’s get together encourages audience participation and debate between the speakers themselves. The STA was lucky to have a panel of three very different […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Coppock’s indicator: Mercifully, monthly only

If, like me, you have spent way too many hours, days, and years studying charts – and more often than not staring blankly at computer screens – it’s nice to know some things only have to be done very occasionally; […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Bank of England treads carefully: Cautious, considered and flexible

These were the themes of Minouche Shafik, Deputy Governor markets and banking at the Bank of England, who chose the Institute of Directors’ grand premises on Pall Mall as the venue for her first major monetary policy speech. With a […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Not reverting to type: Though CAPE mean reverts

Why oh why did I tell Professor Russell Napier that traditionally the speaker at December’s meeting should be brief because he kept STA members from the canapés and drinks at the after-party? The man is quite the maverick and rattled […]

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Posted in General

Seasons Greetings: To seasonality

DEFINITION: A characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes which recur every calendar year. Any predictable change or pattern in a time series that recurs or repeats over a one-year period can be […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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On our best behaviour: Tips from the top

For those of you who could not make it to the STA Annual Dinner yesterday, we offer a glimpse into what was another successful and enjoyable evening. Pre-dinner drinks in the so-called smoking room (which is only permitted on the […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Bumping into Heikin Ashi: Pleased to meet you

At November’s STA monthly meeting we were treated to a very interesting talk by motivational coach Steve Ward (do watch the video which is now on the STA website). But there was an added extra in store for me over […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Additional uses of the DMI indicator by Karen Jones Head of FICC Technical Analysis , Commerzbank

I have found the DMI indicator to be a useful tool. The more traditional way to use this index is in conjunction with an ADX signal above 20 (this tells you that a market is trending in the first place). […]

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Posted in General

Steve Ward’s High Performance Trading: Skills-building tips

Yesterday something completely different happened at the regular STA monthly meeting: a talk without charts! Well, just one but none of us managed to guess what it was: blood sugar levels of an Israeli parole board, so not an entirely […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Big bars and candles: How to interpret them

They’re easy to spot, but do we really know what they mean? October saw strong rallies in many equity indices and it got me thinking. First reactions are shock and awe, glee too, but digging a little deeper are the […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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The laws of very small numbers: Translate into negative?

We all know that bear markets work differently to bull ones, whether you look at it from an Elliott Wave perspective (five phases on the way up but only three on the decline), patterns (blow-off tops versus rounded bottoms), and […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Truly international TA: A common language

Technical analysis is truly international, not just because it has practitioners spread across the globe but because it is a common language we can all understand and relate to. It is another lingua franca, not like Esperanto but like maths, […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Point & figure charting in the 21st century: Jeremy du Plessis’s talk

The STA’s October monthly meeting was a real knock-out – but then what else would one expect from Jeremy? Timed to coincide with the release of his second book – 21st Century Point and Figure (our library has a copy) […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Are histograms of any use? To technical analysts, of course

Primary school first introduced us to basic charts, cutting up a pie into equal-sized portions to feed all those around the table, plotting the height of class members as a histogram, or a line linking the number of hours’ worth […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Check out Mickey Bain’s S&P analysis using point and figure charting

Mickey is an STA member and he has produced this analysis, this represents his own opinion and is not representative of the opinion of the STA.

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Posted in General

Trend following Wilder’s RSI trendline breaks

Since my last blog post regarding Fibonacci Extensions for profit targets, I have received some great feedback, so I would like to say thank you to everyone who took the time to read it. In this post I will be […]

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Posted in General, Markets, Technical Analysis, Trading
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FTSE’s 6,000 line has been respected by the market yet again!

On 18th February, on behalf of the Society of Technical Analysts, I presented the inaugural Finance Society lecture at Anglia Ruskin University’s Lord Ashcroft International Business School and showed the following chart. I argued that before making significant new highs […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading

Using Fibs for profit targets

First of all I would like to say I hope I can do the blog justice in Nicole Elliott’s absence as I have immensely enjoyed her posts so far, secondly I wanted to post something in this blog that I […]

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Posted in General, Markets, STA charts, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Vix and volatility: To be anticipated

The S&P 500 index this year had held in the tiniest range in decades – 3.5 per cent either side of its opening level – then in August the beast turned nasty. Taking so many by surprise the Vix index, […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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How bond traders use charts: without being technical analysts

Did you know that there are an awful lot of market professionals out there who are not technical analysts – yet they use charts all the time. As a technical analyst you might well believe that you have little to […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Fractals in markets: How to spot them

According to Wikipedia: A fractal is a natural phenomenon or a mathematical set that exhibits a repeating pattern that displays at every scale. If the replication is exactly the same at every scale, it is called a self-similar pattern. An example of this is the Menger Sponge. […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Drawing the line: Correctly

The quickest and easiest way to establish a trend is by drawing a trend line, yet it is unbelievable and frightening how often these are done incorrectly. At the risk of being pedantic and accused of treating readers condescendingly, we […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Colouring candles: Conventions and perception

In the olden days charts were kept by hand. Graph paper was usually white, though sometimes pale green was preferred as it is said to be easier on the eye. Sharpened pencils at the ready the working day started and […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Holiday money: where to bag a bargain

School’s out for summer and for once the pound is stronger against the euro. This becomes immediately apparent as you walk past the bureau de change along the high street but the question is whether it’s the euro’s fault (and […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Summer sales: When is a discount too good to be true?

The summer sales are in full swing on the UK High Street, red banners proclaiming savings of 20, 40 and up to 70 per cent off the original retail price. Having become used to year-round promotions, become cynical about marketing […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Determined charitable souls: STA meet in Battersea Park

Despite Thursday 9th July 2015 being the first complete London underground strike in 13 years, STA runners weren’t daunted (though numbers slightly depleted) as they ran for charity at the annual JP Morgan fun run. Setting up team HQ at […]

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Posted in General, STA news, Technical Analysis
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A blast from the past: Bubbles, baths and blood

Founder member of the STA Philip Gray treated us to a no-holds-barred look into manias and the madness of crowds last night. Warning us: ‘this lecture will seriously damage your wealth’ he regaled us with interesting, and many hilarious anecdotes […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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When markets shift two per cent: in a day

There are many rules of thumb involving market moves and the size of these; a ten per cent stock market decline is called a correction and 20 per cent drop a bear market. But what can we conclude when markets […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA.

The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.

None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.

About Nicole Elliott

Nicole Elliott

A graduate of the London School of Economics and Political Science (BSc Social Psychology) Nicole Elliott has worked in banks in the City of London for the last 30 years. Whether in sales, trading or forecasting technical analysis has always been the bedrock of her thinking. Key expertise lies within all areas of treasury: foreign exchange, money markets, fixed income and commodities.

She has also added to the body of knowledge of the industry writing the first western book on Ichimoku Cloud Charts. Strong media links and a cult following are due to her prescient calls on the markets and often entertaining format.

Nicole can be contacted at trending@sta-uk.org

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