STA Blog

STA Blog

A blast from the past: Bubbles, baths and blood

Founder member of the STA Philip Gray treated us to a no-holds-barred look into manias and the madness of crowds last night. Warning us: ‘this lecture will seriously damage your wealth’ he regaled us with interesting, and many hilarious anecdotes […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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When markets shift two per cent: in a day

There are many rules of thumb involving market moves and the size of these; a ten per cent stock market decline is called a correction and 20 per cent drop a bear market. But what can we conclude when markets […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Secondary Indicators: Skipped so often

How many roll up their sleeves in a hurry, study the price chart of their favourite financial instrument, using the same old methods and time frame, all the time. When questioned, the usual retort is that this is their preferred […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Seasonality: Does it really exist?

With the British summer social season at full tilt – Queen’s and Ascot this week, Chelsea and Epsom earlier – I was thinking of how this affects markets. Personally I have never been a great one for cycles, agricultural, Fibonacci […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Poisonous behaviour: Fund managers are subject to this

So said Dr Keith Anderson yesterday at the STA’s monthly meeting in London. An interesting talk based on lectures given to third year students in finance at York University – and it showed. Perfect timing, good clear slides, lots of […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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The element of surprise: Can technical analysis help?

This week the euro rallied five US cents in 65 hours, despite on-going Greek drama, and all too many financial analysts were stumped, slaughtered, and lost for words. I have been wondering whether technical analysis can help in predicting surprise, […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Media hones headlines: Because they sell

In a week where the Shanghai Composite Index lost 10 per cent of face value in just two days, cries of ‘tears’, and ‘I told you so’ abound. There is also an element of schadenfreude as these same writers didn’t […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Tops and bottoms – Which is which?

In a week when Britain saw deflation for the first time in 55 years, and too many European government bonds yield less than nothing, one begins to question one’s sanity in this topsy turvy world. It set me thinking about […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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A farmer allocates assets

Gerry Celaya, describing himself as a small Aberdeenshire sheep farmer, addressed the STA at May’s monthly meeting yesterday. Needless to say Gerry, who used to be a board member of the Society, is no ordinary farmer with a BA and […]

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Posted in General, STA news, Technical Analysis

Polling and reality: What do they know?

Walking back from my local polling station today, determined to say my piece in the most unusual and unpredictable British election in living memory, I started thinking about opinion polls. Dictionary definitions of ‘poll’ include: The process of voting in […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Technical Analysis in a negative world: Who pays who?

Once upon a time life was easy. If you were a ‘good’ person you saved money, deposited at a bank that you trusted, it would earn interest and then, with a bit of luck, you could buy the big-ticket item […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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The Technical Analyst Awards 2015

The Technical Analyst Awards ceremony was held last Thursday night for the seventh year running at Le Meriden Piccadilly. Several well known people from the industry were there, including Axel Rudolph, chairman of the STA, Deborah Owen, head of education, […]

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Posted in General, STA news, Technical Analysis

Thinking in ratios – Untangling price moves

Media wants attention and like any spoilt child, the beast will do anything to get it. So business headlines scream at us with emotive words like ‘slump’, ‘soar’, ‘crisis’ and ‘opportunity’. It’s difficult not to get swept up in it […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Julien Camberlin – a famous Belgian – Speaks to STA members on the 14th April

Famous Belgians are as rare as hen’s teeth, so we are being a little facetious here. His excellent, well-timed talk, with clear slides, on a challenging subject, this Namur resident Julien Camberlin (MFTA, CFTe and CEWA Level 1) was ‘worth […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Designing Great Visualizations – Tableau® software

Sometimes, only rarely, does one come across something that is, as the kids would say, ‘awesome’. Being a visual sort of person, which I think most technical analysts must be, I recently came across this site and it reminded me […]

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Posted in General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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The STA take on the JPMorgan Corporate Challenge

Roll up! Sign up! Don’t be frightened by all the big blokes. This really is a fun run which raises money for Cancer Research UK. For the first time ever the STA has entered a team, one of hundreds of […]

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Posted in General, STA news

Three-D printing – Been there, done that

You will have probably heard of the great new technological leap forward that is the ability to print in three dimensions. Not only will we eventually be able to make body part replacements, but I have been warned that the […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Are Technical Analysts a breed apart? Find out with Doctor Dementia’s Test

We are used to dealing with bars, candles and clouds. Points and figures, ratios and angles. But let’s see how we fare when letters and numbers out of order. Try reading this aloud; be warned, only a few can do […]

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Posted in General

Trending over the very long term – Secular trends and ruminations

Trading the wholesale markets for the last 35 years, I have been thinking about the changes I have seen.

Most obvious of course is technology, the advent of computing power revolutionising the way we technical analysts work, the quantity of data we can deal with, and the choices we have available to us. Not forgetting search engines so that we can quickly double-check details we have forgotten and theories we are a bit flaky on. I find Wikipedia and StockCharts.com invaluable when unsure of which parameter is the default for a particular analysis – and so on.

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Too many moving averages? And many moving parts

A long, long, time ago, I can still remember – when moving averages were plain and simple. Nothing weighted or exponential, dynamic or otherwise (nowadays considered moribund perhaps). Traders used to use 10 and 20 day moving average crossovers to generate buy and sell signals; fund managers, who had time on their side, opted for 50 and 200 day ones, again only crossovers.

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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An old-fashioned line chart For today’s volatility

Only economists use line charts.  We technical analysts have developed far more sophisticated methods, first bar charts, then bar charts with opening and closing levels which morphed into candlesticks, not forgetting those with no time scale along the bottom like Point & Figure, Renko, and the Japanese Three Line Break.

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading
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Coinciding with currency wars – Rebasing charts

We all know that the euro is plummeting, it’s status as the most hated currency in a long time well established.  But what’s it doing relative to other currencies around the globe?  When some are quoted as US dollars per unit of currency, like the euro, and others as currency per US dollar, like the Japanese yen, how can we compare this frankly motley lot?

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Notes and thoughts from the latest STA meeting

Reporting from the lecture given by Yann Cordier on the 10th March 2015, who had kindly torn himself away from his interesting job at Axa Investment Managers in Paris, something of a ‘back to the future’ theme emerged.

The main thrust of his focus was the relative strength of different sectors of the stock market.  Not to be confused with the Relative Strength Index used by technical analysts (RSI), his technique looks at relative outperformance of one security against another one; the ratio between the two compares winners with losers.  This sort of thing has been used for a very long time by stockbrokers when comparing a share to the performance of the index it is included in.

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New features for the STA web site

STA

Unnerving times in the markets and the Society of Technical Analysts has some exciting developments up its sleeve to help you manoeuvre the potholes and avoid the pitfalls of these extraordinary financial times.  We continue to improve the website, both its content and style, and would welcome members’ feedback.

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Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA.

The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.

None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.

About Nicole Elliott

Nicole Elliott

A graduate of the London School of Economics and Political Science (BSc Social Psychology) Nicole Elliott has worked in banks in the City of London for the last 30 years. Whether in sales, trading or forecasting technical analysis has always been the bedrock of her thinking. Key expertise lies within all areas of treasury: foreign exchange, money markets, fixed income and commodities.

She has also added to the body of knowledge of the industry writing the first western book on Ichimoku Cloud Charts. Strong media links and a cult following are due to her prescient calls on the markets and often entertaining format.

Nicole can be contacted at trending@sta-uk.org

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