Member's Blog

Category: Trending

The value of volatility: Measures and comparisons

Approached by an STA member recently at a monthly meeting, he showed me a very interesting report by FTSE Russell, an organisation producing equity benchmarks and research on these, wholly owned by the London Stock Exchange Group.  Of the five […]

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Come to the monthly meeting: But leave your ego at home

Yesterday Thomas Anthonj of JP Morgan Securities, Ltd. was invited back to tell STA members more about his successful systematic trading method which is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci applications.  As a foreign exchange strategist for the firm […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending

Looking ahead: With stats or a crystal ball

All of us would probably like to know what’ll happen next; it’d make life so much easier, knowing what to prepare for and when – no doubt leading to a more fulfilling, if not accepting/fatalistic existence.  Mind you, pity the […]

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Of predictive value: yes or no?

Very recently I came across this chart of the S&P 500 index.  It shows the major downturns it has seen four times since the 1970’s, where each one starts at a theoretical 1 (or 100 per cent).  Every one of […]

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Secrets of the Charts: As revealed by Shares magazine

A colleague last week brought to my attention an article in the latest issue of Shares magazine and asked what I had thought of it.  Not only did I have to admit that I hadn’t seen it – ‘yet’ I […]

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Steven Goldstein – the Performer: Tells engrossing tales of traders, tendencies and traits

Describing himself as a coach and consultant who teaches on the STA’s Diploma course, veteran City trader Steven Goldstein (the punters’ magician) laid out his cards at yesterday’s STA monthly meeting.  Wowing members, one guest was overheard saying later that, […]

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Posted in Finance, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Fundamental analysis: Through the eyes of a techie

Oh not that old chestnut, you groan!  No chance, not here that’s for sure.  The arguments and discussions surrounding the relative merits of fundamental versus technical analysis are too old hat, blinkered and dreary and only for the bigoted.  But […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Maximising moving averages with histograms

Loved by the trading community and developed by Gerald Appel about forty years ago the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD as it’s usually known) aims to drill down into trends – and when they begin to lose momentum.  Calculated by subtracting […]

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Pattern recognition: Man versus machine

To coincide with St Patrick’s Day last week Scientific American posted on social media a short video to help you spot a four-leaf clover. Presented by a self-confessed egg-head, the focus is on pattern recognition and how science can help […]

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A sense of perspective: How much does one need

Looking at the beautiful photos taken by British astronaut Tim Peake from the International Space Station reminded me of how important distance and familiarity are to technical analysis.  When charting a new market or instrument I always insist on starting […]

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Tom DeMark finds the time: Creator of DeMark Indicators

Introduced by Guido Riolo, Bloomberg’s Head of Charting, as ‘a genius of the world of finance’ whose Sequential®, Combo®, and TD Lines® the terminal supplies, audience expectations were running high at the STA’s monthly meeting. A heavyweight in the world […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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STA at The Shard: Joint event with Warwick Business School

Organised by Tom Hicks MENG MSTA MSCI, and more importantly the STA’s Head of Programmes, for many members it was an opportunity to scale new heights – if you could manage the rather complicated lifts to the 17th floor, that […]

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Posted in Finance, General, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Review: Fortune Tellers, Walter A Friedman

An idea suggested by STA members, and one I wholeheartedly support, is not a ‘Book Club’ as such (way too bourgeois) but a forum to showcase and discuss books that are either new, useful, or beautiful (to paraphrase William Morris); […]

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Riccardo Ronco flies in: Momentum builds

This month’s speaker, Riccardo Ronco of institutional equity brokerage Aviate Global, dashed in on a cold London evening looking just as dapper as you’d expect of an Italian.  Claiming his compatriots were no good at cracking jokes to break the […]

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Annual panel debate: A broad-ranging discussion

Rather than the usual monthly format of guest speaker presentation followed by a handful of questions, January’s get together encourages audience participation and debate between the speakers themselves. The STA was lucky to have a panel of three very different […]

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Coppock’s indicator: Mercifully, monthly only

If, like me, you have spent way too many hours, days, and years studying charts – and more often than not staring blankly at computer screens – it’s nice to know some things only have to be done very occasionally; […]

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Bank of England treads carefully: Cautious, considered and flexible

These were the themes of Minouche Shafik, Deputy Governor markets and banking at the Bank of England, who chose the Institute of Directors’ grand premises on Pall Mall as the venue for her first major monetary policy speech. With a […]

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Seasons Greetings: To seasonality

DEFINITION: A characteristic of a time series in which the data experiences regular and predictable changes which recur every calendar year. Any predictable change or pattern in a time series that recurs or repeats over a one-year period can be […]

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On our best behaviour: Tips from the top

For those of you who could not make it to the STA Annual Dinner yesterday, we offer a glimpse into what was another successful and enjoyable evening. Pre-dinner drinks in the so-called smoking room (which is only permitted on the […]

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Steve Ward’s High Performance Trading: Skills-building tips

Yesterday something completely different happened at the regular STA monthly meeting: a talk without charts! Well, just one but none of us managed to guess what it was: blood sugar levels of an Israeli parole board, so not an entirely […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Big bars and candles: How to interpret them

They’re easy to spot, but do we really know what they mean? October saw strong rallies in many equity indices and it got me thinking. First reactions are shock and awe, glee too, but digging a little deeper are the […]

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The laws of very small numbers: Translate into negative?

We all know that bear markets work differently to bull ones, whether you look at it from an Elliott Wave perspective (five phases on the way up but only three on the decline), patterns (blow-off tops versus rounded bottoms), and […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Truly international TA: A common language

Technical analysis is truly international, not just because it has practitioners spread across the globe but because it is a common language we can all understand and relate to. It is another lingua franca, not like Esperanto but like maths, […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Point & figure charting in the 21st century: Jeremy du Plessis’s talk

The STA’s October monthly meeting was a real knock-out – but then what else would one expect from Jeremy? Timed to coincide with the release of his second book – 21st Century Point and Figure (our library has a copy) […]

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Are histograms of any use? To technical analysts, of course

Primary school first introduced us to basic charts, cutting up a pie into equal-sized portions to feed all those around the table, plotting the height of class members as a histogram, or a line linking the number of hours’ worth […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Vix and volatility: To be anticipated

The S&P 500 index this year had held in the tiniest range in decades – 3.5 per cent either side of its opening level – then in August the beast turned nasty. Taking so many by surprise the Vix index, […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Drawing the line: Correctly

The quickest and easiest way to establish a trend is by drawing a trend line, yet it is unbelievable and frightening how often these are done incorrectly. At the risk of being pedantic and accused of treating readers condescendingly, we […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA charts, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Colouring candles: Conventions and perception

In the olden days charts were kept by hand. Graph paper was usually white, though sometimes pale green was preferred as it is said to be easier on the eye. Sharpened pencils at the ready the working day started and […]

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Holiday money: where to bag a bargain

School’s out for summer and for once the pound is stronger against the euro. This becomes immediately apparent as you walk past the bureau de change along the high street but the question is whether it’s the euro’s fault (and […]

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Posted in Finance, Markets, STA news, Technical Analysis, Trading, Trending
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Summer sales: When is a discount too good to be true?

The summer sales are in full swing on the UK High Street, red banners proclaiming savings of 20, 40 and up to 70 per cent off the original retail price. Having become used to year-round promotions, become cynical about marketing […]

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Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed on the STA’s blog do not necessarily represent those of the Society of Technical Analysts (the “STA”), or of any officer, director or member of the STA.

The STA makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information on the blog or found by following any link on blog, and none of the STA, STA Administrative Services or any current or past executive board members are liable for any errors, omissions, or delays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from its display or use.

None of the information on the STA’s blog constitutes investment advice.

About Nicole Elliott

Nicole Elliott

A graduate of the London School of Economics and Political Science (BSc Social Psychology) Nicole Elliott has worked in banks in the City of London for the last 30 years. Whether in sales, trading or forecasting technical analysis has always been the bedrock of her thinking. Key expertise lies within all areas of treasury: foreign exchange, money markets, fixed income and commodities.

She has also added to the body of knowledge of the industry writing the first western book on Ichimoku Cloud Charts. Strong media links and a cult following are due to her prescient calls on the markets and often entertaining format.

Nicole can be contacted at trending@sta-uk.org

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