In any business transaction, be it financial, real estate or retail therapy, for every buyer there must be a seller. One can either sell something one already owns, or sell ahead of delivery to lock in the price. The latter […]
Member's Blog
Category: Technical Analysis
Everyone hates a short seller: Forgetting they’re an important tool of discovery
Tags: hedge funds, Long/short
An economist’s lexicon: Alphabet soup to describe economic recovery
Nouriel Roubini @Nouriel · Jul 21 What the shape of the recovery? A V-shaped recovery with rapid return to strong growth? An anemic sub-par recovery that is U-shaped? A double-dip W recession as a second wave emerges? An L-shaped depression […]
Tags: retracements, Reversal patterns, targets
Twitter tips and other ideas: Etiquette on social media
Years ago disgruntled from Surrey would write a letter to the editor; pedantic fool complain about spelling and punctuation; ‘expert’ in the subject pick on the minutiae in an academic paper. Same old, same old as these issues exist today, […]
Tags: LinkedIn, Social media, Twitter, Webinar, Zoom
Q: When is an island not an island? A: No, the answer isn’t Brexit Britain
With lockdown being de rigueur this season, and all the talk of family bubbles, travel corridors, quarantining and social isolation, I happened to spot a few potential island reversals in the charts. Which then set me thinking about their validity, […]
Tags: Fibonacci Retracements, gaps, Island Reversals, moving averages
‘Critical Cycles’: What you need to know and how to take advantage
The rather dry title of this month’s STA webinar presented by Andrew Pancholi who promised us a ‘’40 minute whistle-stop tour of 30 years of work’’. He lived up to his threat and I urge all and sundry to watch […]
Tags: cycles, history, timing
‘Fake News’ in focus: Traders and investors, beware
In a week when even President Trump was called out for spreading dubious facts on social media, you know that the format has a big problem. The obvious scare-mongering is often easy to spot, and we all know that screaming […]
Tags: Falls versus rallies, Financial media, Record highs
‘Flash Crash’ in review: Were they looking for just anyone to blame?
Almost exactly 10 years ago – 6 May 2010 at 14:32 US Eastern Time – the Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered its second worst ever intra-day loss of 998 points – in just 5 minutes; it then took half an […]
‘How to Determine Bearish and Bullish Markets!’: Speaker’s capitalisation and exclamation mark
The STA’s May monthly meeting was, unfortunately, conducted via webinar because of the Corona-19 virus; a pity as veteran (3rd time) invitee Zaheer Anwari is someone I look forward to catching up with over networking and drinks at our regular […]
Tags: Indices, moving averages, Portfolio, Technical Analysis Courses, time frames
When is parabolic too much? Answer: when it suddenly reverses
Charts for this piece: Tesla, Virgin Galactic (Zero Hedge), palladium, Argentine new bond prices as IMF negotiates, Lebanese bond yields 1000%. Media outlets – and not just financial ones – have been getting terribly excited about the share price of […]
Tags: Excess, momentum
‘Crush it with Clouds’ by Sankar Sharma MSTA: If only we could do the same with Covid-19
As a handful of countries start lifting corona-virus related restrictions, Britain looks set to enter another 3 weeks of lockdown. Tuesday the 14th April was the second STA Monthly Meeting that was held online due to limits to the size […]
Tags: Ichimoku Clouds, return, reward, risk, stops
‘Beware the Ides of March’: Remembering to keep a sense of proportion
Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar came to a sticky end on the 15th of March, lending the phrase negative connotations ever since. In fact, an Ide is a very ancient word for certain dates in the calendar, the first full moon of […]
Tags: Bear, Bull, percentage, Proportion, Technical Analysis Courses
Charting the Markets with IG: TV Guest Patricia Elbaz spills the beans
A little social media bird let me in on a surprise. For her interview on IG TV, hosted by Victoria Scholar, veteran technical analyst Patricia Elbaz arrived with a congratulatory card and cake. This is because Victoria had passed her […]
Tags: 200-day moving average, MACD, psychological, Trend line
Charting the markets with IG TV: Safe havens ahoy! But do you know where they are?
A very brave Joshua Mahoney of the IG platform faces an incredibly tricky time explaining the carnage in all sorts of markets on the morning of Monday 9th March 2020 – plus, trying to forecast the next step. Well done, […]
Tags: Crashing stock indices, gold, oil, Safe-havens
That was the Week that Was: And then the client asks: ’’how are you left?’’
A phrase dreaded by market makers in all areas of finance who, because they are obliged to make two-way prices for existing clients throughout the business day, means there are more difficult orders on the way and the most recent […]
Tags: Equities, percentage, Relative Performance, Start Point
Robin Griffiths, who has pedigree, overviews the last 50 years: Because the STA also has 50 years under its belt
Well, we’ll have to give it to him, he’s done 53 years as a professional technical analyst/strategist, despite a BA in economics from Nottingham University. His first City job was at stockbrokers Phillips and Drew – one of the many […]
Tags: Asset classes, cycles, demographics
It’s my birthday this month, so I’m looking at monthly candles: Not blowing them out though
Many markets this January have been a ‘Tale of Two Cities’ – or halves anyway. This has created a series of very interesting, and sometimes rare, single or two-candle patterns, reminding me of the song ‘Candle in the Wind’. Like […]
Tremendous turnout for equities in 2019: Despite Sino-US trade spat
I’m probably preaching to the converted, but: beware media headlines. Bad news is shocking, and shocking sells newspapers. Sensationalist wording gets eyeballs on social media. Slick and surprising video footage gets clicks; so it goes, and has always; therefore journalists […]
Tags: Equities, percentage, Relative Performance, Start Point
ACI “the filling in the sandwich”: The economist between the dark side
That’s how Adrian Schmidt said he felt as a fundamental analyst slotted between two technical analysts at yesterday evening’s special panel debate organised at the STA’s usual (and lovely) venue in conjunction with the ACI. To an almost full house […]
Tags: 2020, Fundamental, FX, G10, panel, Technical Analysis Courses
Charting the Markets on IG TV: With IG’s Senior Market Analyst Joshua Mahony
The TV and media team and IG are a slick lot with a busy production schedule. As well as producing text and video content, they coordinate news feeds for the platform and do their own analysis. From Monday to Friday […]
This is not a blog; this is not even an M&S blog: It’s just seasonal greetings masquerading as a blog
I’m really looking forward to taking some time off over the Christmas and New Year’s Eve weeks. I’ve cut these out of my working diary for many years now, mainly because markets are dead – ergo technical analysis pointless – […]
Tags: greetings, New Year, seasons, year-end
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Rajan Dhall tells us about indicators
I hear that IG TV presenter Victoria Scholar found this week’s segment with Rajan Dhall especially helpful – and having just watched it, I can see why. He focuses on 3 popular technical analysis indicators, walking us through, step by […]
Tags: convergence, divergence, MACD, RSI, Stochastics
Scam emails from HMRC – Reported by 900,000 people
The Weekend FT has a small FT Money section which covers personal finance (rather than companies and markets). It often has articles which are relevant to one’s current or future circumstances, or cover aspects that a friend might find helpful. […]
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Nicole Elliott on her day’s work
Recorded and broadcast live on Thursday the 21st November, Victoria Scholar gets Nicole Elliott FSTA to run through the charts and thinking behind that day’s email sent out to Investors Chronicle subscribers. Daily she covers 3 main indices, 2 currencies […]
Tags: divergence, Doji, MACD, momentum, Size
German corporates penalised by the ECB: Banks impose negative interest rates on cash balances
For a nation which prides itself on prudence, saving and balancing the government budget, they are furious at the ECB’s never-ending ‘quantative easing’ and now a minus 50 basis point key ‘lending’ rate. Data published by the Bundesbank, and a […]
Tags: bonds, Negative Yields, Zero
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Special show on the Andrews pitchfork
Recorded and broadcast live on Friday the 8th November, just ahead of Remembrance Sunday 2019, STA Committee member Eddie Tofpik appropriately decided to do a special educational show on the Andrews pitchfork. Church on Sunday reminded me that Isaiah 2:4 […]
Tags: Andrews Pitchfork, FX, Indices, Schiff pitchfork
Momentum, Echo and Predictability: Evidence from the London Stock Exchange (1820-1930): Eye catching, as one doesn’t often see stock charts this old
One of the ‘advantages’ of being a journalist is the vast amounts of unsolicited email I receive. The other is that I spend a lot of time on social media and websites looking for information, finding what’s new, and what […]
‘Market action discounts everything’ says Technical Analysis: But sometimes price charts lie
Before reading on, take a close and careful look at the chart that goes with this piece. I’ve deliberately not told you what the financial instrument is, nor what it’s priced in, or where it’s traded. It looks, for all […]
Tags: gaps, holidays, volume
‘Taking the Floor: Models, Morals and Management in a Wall Street Trading Room’ Presentation by Daniel Beunza (Cass Business School, SRC, LSE), 11/Oct/2019
Coinciding with his book launch – of the same title and published by Princeton University Press – I was invited, as a journalist for the Financial Times in London, to a presentation on the subject by the public relations firm […]
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Lee Sandford MSTA speaks to host Jeremy Naylor
I must say, I don’t envy men these days; sartorial decisions are so very nuanced. IG TV host Jeremy Naylor this week invited Member of the Society of Technical Analysts’ Lee Sandford of tradingcollege.co.uk onto their regular slot, looking at […]
‘Logical Price Action: Utilising Wyckoffian Principles in Modern Times’: Lecture by William Reardon 8 October 2019 18:30 BST
Invited by STA Executive Committee member David Watts to give this talk (who’d heard about him through the www.trade2win.com forum for active traders), I introduced myself and apologised for knowing nothing about his subject. Unfazed, William told me he was […]
Tags: Accumulation, Distribution, Technical Analysis Course, volume, Wyckoff
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