So said Dr Ernest Chang on yesterday’s Zoom presentation at the STA’s monthly meeting. Known as Ernie among friends, he is charming, witty and speaks perfect English – albeit with a Chinese accent. With my very limited knowledge of all […]
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Category: STA charts
‘Tail Hedging in the Age of Machine Learning’: and “don’t start with a new black box”
Tags: Machine learning. Deep Learning. Parameters
Confidence and the Corona Virus: What are consumers to make of it all?
The word ‘confidence’ has been bandied about a lot of late; more specifically, prefaced by ‘lack of’. Currently centre stage in Britain is the Secretary of State for Education, the Rt Hon Gavin Williamson CBE. He is merely one among […]
Tags: confidence, Hard Data, Opinion Surveys, Survey Data
The Five Modes of Mindful Investors: A special webinar by David Keller for the STA
Currently Chief Market Strategist at StockCharts.com in Seattle, I’ve known David from his Bloomberg days. He also has a blog called The Mindful Investor, on which this excellent webinar is broadly based. Interestingly, his first chart maps the high and […]
Tags: Behavioural finance, Checklist, Mindfulness
Q: When is an island not an island? A: No, the answer isn’t Brexit Britain
With lockdown being de rigueur this season, and all the talk of family bubbles, travel corridors, quarantining and social isolation, I happened to spot a few potential island reversals in the charts. Which then set me thinking about their validity, […]
Tags: Fibonacci Retracements, gaps, Island Reversals, moving averages
‘Critical Cycles’: What you need to know and how to take advantage
The rather dry title of this month’s STA webinar presented by Andrew Pancholi who promised us a ‘’40 minute whistle-stop tour of 30 years of work’’. He lived up to his threat and I urge all and sundry to watch […]
Tags: cycles, history, timing
Art is anything and everywhere: The skill is in the interpretation
Artist and prize-winning potter, Grayson Perry, has been busy during the lock-down. A social butterfly by nature, oft-spotted at Royal Academy parties sporting a little girl Alice in Wonderland look, last night he and his wife hosted an hour-long TV […]
Tags: Interpretation, Language, Symbols
It’s my birthday this month, so I’m looking at monthly candles: Not blowing them out though
Many markets this January have been a ‘Tale of Two Cities’ – or halves anyway. This has created a series of very interesting, and sometimes rare, single or two-candle patterns, reminding me of the song ‘Candle in the Wind’. Like […]
ChiNext Composite the outperformer
Just over a month ago, we wrote that the index of all shares listed on the Growth Enterprise Board, the ChiNext, had broken up out of a small symmetrical triangle, and should rally to retracement resistance at 2155. It’s got […]
Tags: ChiNext, Fibonacci, relative strength
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Guest Lee Sandford of London Trading College quizzed again
A regular guest on this 10:30 am slot, host Victoria Scholar slickly puts charting veteran Lee through his paces. Interestingly, he kicks off with FX cross the Kiwi (New Zealand dollar, for the uninitiated) against the Canadian dollar. While these […]
Tags: commodities, divergence, MACD, RSI, Stochastics, Swing Trading, Technical Analysis Courses
ACI “the filling in the sandwich”: The economist between the dark side
That’s how Adrian Schmidt said he felt as a fundamental analyst slotted between two technical analysts at yesterday evening’s special panel debate organised at the STA’s usual (and lovely) venue in conjunction with the ACI. To an almost full house […]
Tags: 2020, Fundamental, FX, G10, panel, Technical Analysis Courses
Charting the Markets on IG TV: With IG’s Senior Market Analyst Joshua Mahony
The TV and media team and IG are a slick lot with a busy production schedule. As well as producing text and video content, they coordinate news feeds for the platform and do their own analysis. From Monday to Friday […]
This is not a blog; this is not even an M&S blog: It’s just seasonal greetings masquerading as a blog
I’m really looking forward to taking some time off over the Christmas and New Year’s Eve weeks. I’ve cut these out of my working diary for many years now, mainly because markets are dead – ergo technical analysis pointless – […]
Tags: greetings, New Year, seasons, year-end
Dow and the Decennial Cycle: Article by David McMinn in Market Technician magazine
Like it or not, we are closing in on the end of September and the third quarter of 2019. Some are scurrying around the Federal Reserve Bank of New York desperate for cash to tidy up their books coinciding with […]
Tags: annual, cycles, decade, Quarterly, year-end
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Nicole Elliot hits the airwaves as Brexit turmoil bits
IG TV host Jeremy Naylor this week invited Fellow of the Society of Technical Analysts, Nicole Elliott, onto IG’s regular slot looking at the week’s markets from a chartist’s perspective. Both agree that Brexit is dominating the headlines, Britain’s Supreme […]
Grand Gala Dinner goes with a bang: A quick re-cap for those who couldn’t make it
For some time now, every year in early September the STA books the National Liberal Club for a formal sit-down 3-course dinner – because Liberal Party members are away for their annual conference – and we have the club pretty […]
The Role of Subjectivity in Technical Analysis: Read about last week’s STA talk with Tim Parker MSTA
Tim Parker MSTA is a veteran in the field of technical analysis and this was evident in his talk. Tim started the session by asking who in the room was optimistic about the state of the financial markets. Around 30% […]
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Client Adrian Rye on Elliott Wave Theory
IG TV host Jeremy Naylor this week invited in one of their clients, Adrian Rye, an independent technical analyst. Trained as a commercial financial analyst, he comes across well: honest, believable and clear. Better and better: his charts are superb. […]
Speed Resistance Lines: A new one on me, and a variation on a theme
One of the problems of having my email address plastered all over the place, is that I get a lot of unsolicited mail. There is an upside though, as sometimes I get very nice letters from people I don’t know. […]
Central bankers and their currencies: Too reliant on received wisdom
While teenage climate activist Greta Thunberg is only half-way across the North Atlantic Ocean in her seriously carbon-neutral sailing yacht, central bankers from all over the world flew in yesterday – many in private jets – to Jackson Hole, Wyoming’s […]
Charting the Markets with IG TV: Chris Beauchamp on markets post Trump postponement
Recorded on the morning of 14th August 2019, the day after President Trump decided to postpone new trade tariffs on Chinese goods until the 15th of December – just in time for Americans to buy their Christmas presents – Chris […]
Technical Analysis by Clive Lambert MSTA: A journey through a career in the City using Technical Analysis
Technical Analysis is the study of the markets using price action and data. That’s probably the simplest way to describe it, but what does that mean? To explain this I thought I’d take you through my own journey; my 30+ […]
Putting doji candlesticks into practice: Recent real-life examples
On the 19th of July Jeremy Naylor’s guest on Charting the Markets for IG TV was Patricia Elbaz, independent technical analyst and university lecturer. She gave an excellent introduction to the basics of candlestick charts: how they are constructed, the […]
Fake News: And alarmist headlines
Never mind the ‘fake news’ on social media. Alarmist headlines, sloppy opinion pieces masquerading as reporting, and targeted advertising mean many – like me – are becoming increasingly cynical. On Tuesday morning, in a print version of a free newspaper […]
Robin Wilkin’s video: On the divisive Elliott Wave theory
Robin Wilkin, Director of Global Cross Asset Strategy at Lloyd’s Banking Group, uses R. N. Elliott’s wave count theory as his main technical analysis tool. Market professionals – and amateurs even more so – often find this topic tricky and, […]
Tags: correlation, Elliott Wave, FX, Wave Count
Trend channels extraordinaire: See palladium fly and platinum sag
Normally in soaring markets one is guaranteed oscillators that cannot cope, almost non-existent consolidation phases – and therefore few recognisable chart patterns – and moving averages that lag badly. Associated with such moves investors start hyperventilating, suggesting the sky’s the […]
Richard Adcock: ‘When overbought or oversold signals continuation’
The STA is very lucky in that its pool of talent is deep and its contacts list extensive. Because February’s speaker unfortunately had to pull out at short notice (Kevin Bull will instead speak on the 14th May), Richard Adcock, […]
Tags: divergence, MACD, momentum, overbought, Oversold, RSI, Stochastics
‘Do equities outperform bonds?’ Ask Terry Smith
FTMoney, one of the sections of the Weekend Financial Times, has guest contributors writing on a regular basis. On Saturday 10th November City legend Terry Smith posed the question above, and the article was so very good I urge you […]
Tags: bonds, Fundsmith LLP, Indexing, T-Bills
Secondary technical indicators: Their moment in the limelight
Being a ‘fear and greed’ sort of technical analyst, I’ve been having a great time with stock market indices this month; big moves, punchy candlesticks, speechless equity analysts backpedalling. Such fun! One thing that did make me sit up and […]
Tags: Arms index, NYSE Tick, oscillators, volume
Dr Van K. Tharp: And his Super Trader Programme
Over to the conference centre at America Square yesterday evening, to an event jointly hosted by the Society of Technical Analysts (STA) and the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst Association (CAIA). A great layout with semi-circular tables for the many attendees, […]
Tags: Books, Psychology, rules
Ambiguity: “When nothing is sure, everything is possible”
Said author Margaret Drabble who came to my school to give a talk years ago. The quote was used recently by Penelope Freeland, a teacher at another school of mine, who was writing about how uncertainty is a condition of […]
Tags: Ambiguity, Choices, Decisions
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